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Donald Trump vs Joe Biden: Who is leading in key swing US states?

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NEW DELHI: With the 2024 presidential election drawing closer, recent polls have shown former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden in nearly all crucial battleground states that are expected to be decisive in the rematch. According to a Wall Street Journal survey released Tuesday, Trump has the edge over Biden in six of the seven states polled: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina.
The survey highlights Trump’s significant leads, including a six-point advantage in North Carolina and a five-point lead in Arizona.He also holds narrower leads in Nevada, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and edges Biden by a single point in Georgia, with the two tied in Wisconsin.
These leads persist in scenarios including third-party and independent candidates, as well as in head-to-head matchups between Trump and Biden. This is a notable shift from the 2020 election outcomes, where Biden narrowly edged out Trump in these battleground states, except for North Carolina.
The poll also sheds light on the voters’ perceptions of the candidates’ performance and abilities. Trump is viewed favorably in terms of his presidency across all the polled states except Nevada, where opinions vary. In contrast, Biden’s job performance received negative ratings across all seven battleground states. Specifically, voters express more trust in Trump to handle key issues like the economy and immigration, whereas Biden is preferred on the issue of abortion.
Concerns over President Biden’s physical fitness also emerged, with 48% of voters seeing Trump as more fit to serve another term, compared to 28% for 81-year-old Biden. First Lady Jill Biden, when asked about the WSJ polling results, dismissed concerns over Biden’s performance in the battleground states, asserting, “No, he’s not losing in all the battleground states. He’s coming up.”
The Wall Street Journal poll, conducted from March 17 to 24, with a margin of error of plus or minus 1.5 percentage points, contrasts with a national survey from NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist showing Biden leading Trump by two percentage points in the general election ballot.
Among independent voters, Trump led Biden by seven points, reflecting a nuanced electoral landscape that continues to evolve. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, noted the close contest and highlighted that about four in ten voters remain undecided, suggesting the potential for shifts in voter preference as the election approaches.
Both Trump and Biden have been confirmed as their party’s nominees, setting the stage for a highly anticipated rematch of the 2020 presidential election. As campaigns gear up for the November showdown, the battleground state polls signal a competitive race ahead, with fundraising efforts ramping up on both side

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